Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 7.435103 8.638251 9.935730 11.434338 13.112745 14.929759 17.040652
2025-12-07 5.752308 7.346737 9.196353 11.482624 14.213559 17.351375 21.208381
2025-12-14 4.774331 6.562677 8.756178 11.607765 15.176697 19.453752 24.920627
2025-12-21 4.037079 5.918018 8.338893 11.623155 15.895674 21.194419 28.182494
2025-12-28 3.588798 5.564849 8.216022 11.945001 16.954866 23.345280 31.989433
2026-01-04 3.194846 5.222261 8.049353 12.159209 17.843316 25.277352 35.559877
2026-01-11 2.818797 4.850501 7.790945 12.201692 18.470016 26.860170 38.704810
2026-01-18 2.399325 4.356523 7.300257 11.859251 18.517792 27.637846 40.774778
2026-01-25 2.066171 3.952394 6.896162 11.595078 18.635447 28.485841 42.938827
2026-02-01 1.774731 3.577156 6.495197 11.292788 18.660543 29.180914 44.889241
2026-02-08 1.530907 3.250025 6.135176 11.016366 18.691489 29.864034 46.822542
2026-02-15 1.307912 2.929088 5.751504 10.665859 18.576419 30.312208 48.413846
2026-02-22 1.180409 2.771162 5.630686 10.734530 19.115895 31.751040 51.504069
2026-03-01 1.062890 2.616621 5.500177 10.774083 19.605208 33.126552 54.540631
2026-03-08 0.970059 2.498647 5.422292 10.892675 20.219332 34.704098 57.916608
2026-03-15 0.873981 2.360004 5.292062 10.907280 20.657060 36.017122 60.924691
2026-03-22 0.822824 2.311827 5.326903 11.212874 21.586266 38.119755 65.187147
2026-03-29 0.764635 2.239562 5.307618 11.416311 22.347335 39.976256 69.116552
2026-04-05 0.695107 2.130575 5.204846 11.456661 22.826300 41.392524 72.394894
2026-04-12 0.598791 1.940925 4.919086 11.131447 22.649469 41.737635 73.994540
2026-04-19 0.520617 1.783033 4.682613 10.880623 22.584964 42.254186 75.868011
2026-04-26 0.449060 1.629145 4.437997 10.593677 22.435937 42.617470 77.495457
2026-05-03 0.387953 1.491949 4.214997 10.331350 22.313545 43.013018 79.175401